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Drewry: Sad times ahead for Capesize

Things are looking bad for Capesize, says Drewry. The dry bulk market will depend completely on the growth in commodiy trade since the ship supply in the dry bulk market is growing rapidly.

Photo: Rederiforeningen

It seems unlikely that there will be enough dry bulk to fill the many dry bulk ships on the market in the years to come, and it is on that background that a new analysis by Drewry concludes that the "capesize misery continues."

"Activity languished in the Asian market ahead of New Year holidays in China. To add to the problems, weather disruptions in Queensland in Australia put a further dent on demand in the segment. The ex-tropical cyclone Oswald has disrupted coal shipments from Hay Point, Dalrymple Bay and Gladstone. Major railroads that transport coal from the mines to the ports have been closed by severe weather. Many producers including Xstrata, Rio Tinto and Anglo American have suffered from the bad weather. This caused Capesize freight rates to dip further, which filtered through to the Drewry Hire Index. Prospects look promising for the iron ore market after the Lunar New Year prospects. Restocking after the holiday will create demand for Capesizes," writes Drewry.

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